About elections result I am not too much optimistic. The internal situation of Afghanistan is not good at all. Now the insurgent Taliban kill the religious people and there is some unconfirmed news that Taliban contacted the Russians. Besides, the following problems threat the peace and stability in Afghanistan :
1- Poverty is the main problem in Afghanistan. Majority of the people don't have enough financial backing and earning to support their families. In some remote areas, such as Badakhshan, people eat grass and don't have access to outside world and other parts of Afghanistan because of mountains, heavy snow fall in winter and lack of usable roads for vehicles and heavy transportation. In cities such as Kabul, people work from 5:00am to 7:00pm, but still they cannot earn enough to support their families. Prices are much high and the rent of house is a real problem for those who don't have their own houses. In remote areas and villages majority of the people disapprove the work and achievements of government during the past three and a half years. While in one side people suffer from poverty, from another side businessmen and rich people (warlords, landlords, government high officials, ministers, etc.) fill their pockets and construct new shopping centers, business centers, high buildings, and private businesses. These also have links with government and warlords and by giving bribe and using force build their own empire and government within Afghan government.
2- Karzia himself has link with mafia. His brother is one of the most important drug dealers in the south. He has his own empire through drug and international mafia. Whatever Karzai says to the West is a pack of lies. He supports the warlords and wants to have them in his government. He knows that he cannot oppose, so better to have them as a partner in looting the national property of Afghanistan and international aid. He don't know how to control the country and how to solve the needs of ordinary people such as clean drinking water, electricity, daily public services, shelter, food and job.
3- NGOs and international community have their own agenda and programs in Afghanistan. Their policies are wrong and produce negative results in the long term. Just imagine that world community gave millions of dollars for the reconstruction of Afghanistan, but you can hardly see any progress in the infrastructure of the country by government. Corruption within national and international NGOs frustrates the needy people and those work and are involved with these NGOs become richer and richer by the passage of each day. Their work cannot produce lasting result on needy communities and looting of money is the main reason for creating such a large community of NGOs. Another problem with NGOs is the return of money to countries that send money to Afghanistan. By the name of specialists, consultants, directors, managers, etc. hundreds of foreign nationals work on high position in internationals NGOs. They earn imaginary salaries that are behind their dreams in the own countries. The fund and money that are belong to Afghan nation and needy beneficiaries are, maybe unintentionally, looted by NGOs and their owners and a bunch of employees by different names and titles.
4- Land is anther main problem. Majority of people don't have land and government doesn't have any positive program in this regard and, more importantly, that power and money is another important factor in this field. Those who have power and linkage with government officials can buy or usurp public lands, but poor people cannot take even a small piece of land to build their own house. This causes grabbing lands by poor people in areas that are not according to the master plan of Afghan government in cities such as Kabul. This causes, at least Kabul, to become a slum with destructive consequences in the near future.
5-US and its allies don't have good and sincere policy in Afghanistan. All they want is to approve the building of their military bases in Afghanistan. All they want from the coming parliament is to approve their long stay in Afghanistan and construction and presence of their bases and forces. Taliban is not a big problem if the US really has the pure intention to wipe them out. It can put pressure on Pakistan to check the infiltrators crossing its borders, but is doesn't. All they do is lip service to deceive the international community and find an excuse for their longer stay in Afghanistan.
6- China, Russia (and its allies in Central Asia) and Iran cannot tolerate the longer stay of US forces in their borders, Afghanistan. They will use money and force to change the scenario in the region. This will produce destructive consequences for Afghan poor people. Afghanistan again will change into a battleground (economic, strategic and fighting) for the regional and international power that have a high stick in the region.
7- Pakistan cannot tolerate a peaceful and powerful Afghanistan under its nose. Pakistani government will train and send its mercenaries to disrupt the peace and stability in Afghanistan. Its claim regarding stopping and curbing terrorists is pack of lies. Building a wall in its border with Afghanistan itself proves that terrorists are coming from Pakistan soil and these terrorists are the brain-child of Pakistan's ISI. If these terrorists are really fighting for Islamic values, than why they don't start their holy war against Mushraf's government and its policies! Don't they think that Pakistanis are much more liberal and loose on Islamic values than Afghan people and don't they think that Musharaf once praised Kama Ataturk who wiped out his country from the filth of hypocrite mullahs! It proves that Pakistan has the tails of all terrorists under its feet and uses them whenever it needed them.
8- Drug and mafia is another big problem. Most of the powerful and rich people in Afghanistan are drug dealers or have linkage with international mafia. US itself get a share of this dirty business. It (drug) gives the chance to pile up as much wealth and money as they wish. They need this money and it doesn't seem that they are sincere enough in their intention to eradicate the dirty business. Poor people of Afghanistan are the main losers in this business. Government can stop poor people and destroy their poppy cultivations- just to show the world that they are against drug!-, but it cannot destroy the poppy cultivations of rich and powerful drug dealers, such as Karzai's brother in the south because they themselves get a lion's share out of it.
9- DDR (decommissioning process) couldn't disarm those who are armed to the teeth. Just imagine the recent fighting in Faryab between Dostum and Malik. They pounded each others' position with heavy weapons and artilleries. Interestingly this is in a time when DDR claims that these two warlords had been disarmed long ago! This is just the tip of the iceberg in this specific important issue.
9- Coming parliament will create more problems than solving the existing problems. The parliament will be a verbal battleground for different elements with different ideology and agenda. We will have five categories of people in the parliament: 1- Jehadi warlords and their intellectuals, they will be the dominant force in the parliament. 2-Khalqi-Parchami figures, who themselves are responsible for the killing of thousands of intellectual during their rule, 3- Liberal and technocrats who will form a very tiny portion of the parliament who definitely will support Karzai, 4- Taliban supporters such as Mullah Rocketee (Abdul Salam) and 5- Some independent and democracy-loving elements such as Malai Joya who will occupy very limited number of seats and will launch a crusade against war criminals (from 1979 onwards) within parliament.
Of these the first group has differences within themselves and differences with others. Each wants power, money and more influence in government. Each accuses each other and will dispose their past records as human righter violators and murderers of innocent people and devastator of Afghanistan.

The task of building a safe and stable Afghanistan is the national duty of all sincere Afghan people. They should not beg for help and they should not trust any outside force. Unless and until the problems of ordinary people (food, social services, clean drinking water, job, security and shelter) are solved, Afghanistan will plunge in unstopped cycle of destructive civil wars. People are fed up and they can pick arm to find a solution. And we should not forget that Afghans are good fighters, but unfortunately bad solvers.
O. S.

Kabul, 18 October

p.s. Purtroppo o.s. non sta per officina sociale, ma e' la sigla del nome di un contatto della nostra amica Cristina in Afghanistam